When will Elon Musk create a political party?
80
Ṁ7647
Aug 1
25%
By July 31
25%
By August 31
37%
By September 30
53%
By October 31
55%
By November 30
59%
By December 31

Each option resolves YES if Elon Musk establishes a political party by the end of the listed date in 2025 (Pacific Time), and NO otherwise.

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What if he still doesn't do it by December?

@EvanTh In that case, all options resolve NO

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What does “create” mean? To open an office with staffers, put a candidate on a ballot, or…?

@Eric_WVGG Good question. I'm thinking I'll resolve YES as soon as both of the following are true:

  1. A new political party is officially registered with a government election authority

  2. Musk personally confirms on record that this party is his party

I'll leave this here so anyone can suggest tweaks before it becomes part of the official resolution criteria.

@evan So does this imply that if the party is registered on July 30, but he doesn't confirm until Aug 2, July resolves NO? Just want to check.

@Sketchy Yep. I think this makes sense because, according to Wikipedia, the Forward Party was founded in October 2021 when Andrew Yang announced it even though it had already been registered with the FEC in September.