Each option resolves YES if Elon Musk establishes a political party by the end of the listed date in 2025 (Pacific Time), and NO otherwise.
@Eric_WVGG Good question. I'm thinking I'll resolve YES as soon as both of the following are true:
A new political party is officially registered with a government election authority
Musk personally confirms on record that this party is his party
I'll leave this here so anyone can suggest tweaks before it becomes part of the official resolution criteria.
@evan So does this imply that if the party is registered on July 30, but he doesn't confirm until Aug 2, July resolves NO? Just want to check.
@Sketchy Yep. I think this makes sense because, according to Wikipedia, the Forward Party was founded in October 2021 when Andrew Yang announced it even though it had already been registered with the FEC in September.