MANIFOLD
BrowseUS ElectionNewsAbout
United States Recession by End of Q4 2025?
โž•
Plus
44
แน€12k
2026
24%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL

Resolves YES if there are two consecutive negative quarters.

https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product

Based on 'Third Estimate' figures.

๏ธ Technology๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ US Politics๏ธ PoliticsWorldUnited States
Get แน€1,000 play money
1 Comment
Sort by:

What happens if BEA gets shut down or stops publishing these reports?

Related questions

Will China's economy enter a recession by 2025?
16% chance
United States Recession by End of Q2?
10% chance
US Recession in 2025?
25% chance
Did the US enter a recession before the end of 2024?
1% chance
Will the NBER Announce the US is in recession during 2025 by the end of 2025?
27% chance
Will there be a US recession by EOY2025?
23% chance
United States Recession by End of Q3?
10% chance
Will the US enter a recession by the end of 2025?
34% chance
Will the US enter a recession by end of 2025? (Two quarters negative GDP growth)
25% chance
Will there be a recession in the U.S. in 2025?
29% chance

Related questions

Will China's economy enter a recession by 2025?
16% chance
Will there be a US recession by EOY2025?
23% chance
United States Recession by End of Q2?
10% chance
United States Recession by End of Q3?
10% chance
US Recession in 2025?
25% chance
Will the US enter a recession by the end of 2025?
34% chance
Did the US enter a recession before the end of 2024?
1% chance
Will the US enter a recession by end of 2025? (Two quarters negative GDP growth)
25% chance
Will the NBER Announce the US is in recession during 2025 by the end of 2025?
27% chance
Will there be a recession in the U.S. in 2025?
29% chance
BrowseElectionNewsAbout