Will Israeli troops still be in Lebanon one year after entering? ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿช–
Mini
5
แน€80
2025
56%
chance

Resolves YES if there is an Israeli troop presence in Lebanon one year after the 2024 invasion (September 30th, 2025).

Resolves NO if Israel confirms that it has pulled all troops out of the country before then.

Get แน€1,000 play money
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Small scale ground war was happening for the past year. Over 70 raids with 20-40 troops spent days inside Lebanon

https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/israel-sends-troops-into-lebanon-escalating-fight-against-hezbollah-1dbcee03

Now it is about 1000+ prepping the way for over 40k

So actually the invasion started earlier