this can resolve NO

https://abcnews.go.com/US/brown-university-shooting-manhunt-continues-fbi-offers-reward/story?id=128443272
Some more updates here, including the video of the current suspect, relevant to several of these answers.

https://manifold.markets/Balasar/when-will-the-brown-shooter-be-appr?r=QmFsYXNhcg

Limit order up until 2:20pm EST. (~20 minutes)

https://www.wpri.com/news/local-news/providence/brown-university-reports-active-shooter/ The suspect in custody has been released.

Oh boy. For once I'm happy I'm not trading on this market: I don't enjoy roller-coasters.

If by some misfortune most everything is still in the air at market expiry (Jan 12) I will extend the deadline on questions that remain uncertain.

@nonnihil it's pretty illiquid too

@nonnihil can u add some liqidity

@JeromeHPowell I can't make head or tail of the liquidity subsidy stuff. I'll add some because you seem to know what you are talking about but... Manifold couldn't create stronger "this is a scam" vibes around liquidity subsidy if they tried.

@nonnihil Subsidies are an arcane art. It can be mastered, but knowing where to find educational material on this is difficult. @Eliza is our resident liquidity shifu.

@nonnihil I got screwed over just a few days ago https://manifold.markets/post/manifold-should-do-anything-other-t#tlOy5Ipu

@nonnihil This is the context to Jerome's comment above: https://manifold.markets/post/manifold-should-do-anything-other-t#tlOy5Ipu

@JeromeHPowell You got reimbursed, at least.

@Quroe yes, @Gen was very gracious

what a bunch of clowns, FBI is now 2 for 2 on getting the wrong guy, have to wait for the shooter's parents to turn him in now...

https://www.cnn.com/2025/12/14/us/benjamin-erickson-brown-university-shooting
Yet more updates on the suspect in custody, painting a bit more of a picture here...

https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/live-blog/brown-university-shooting-live-updates-rcna249097/rcrd94445?canonicalCard=true
The current suspect has been identified.

For the people that keep betting the antisemitism option up to 80%, there's 1000 mana on NO that you can gobble up at 50% (lasts one hour).

@Balasar I'm not looking forward to sussing out whether prediction-holders mean that option to capture a motivation of the shooter in favor of antisemitism or a motive against the perceived antisemitism of Brown econ students, or both, so I'm hoping for my own sake that no relationship to antisemitism exists at all.

So anyway whoever is bidding that option up... no offense, but I'm kinda really hoping you lose.

@nonnihil can’t say I thought of the anti-antisemitic motivation when I wrote that option!

Further updates: https://www.cnn.com/us/live-news/brown-university-shooting-12-13-25