Will the first self-sustaining base on Mars begin being established within 20 years as Elon Musk says?
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แน€546
2045
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resolve YES if a starship that attempts to land on mars or orbit mars launches by the end of 2044 with the parts and/or people necessary to establish a permanent city or base

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What does "with the parts and/or people necessary... " mean? Obviously it will not have all of the parts and people necessary to establish a permanent city or base. The tanks that make up most of Starship are parts that a permanent base would need. What would be the difference between having enough to count and not having enough to count?

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How does this resolve if SpaceX is rapidly overtaken and made redundant by the first ASI (possibly from X AI but probably from other companies), which starts single-handedly designing, building, and launching missions to build self-sustaining mars bases?

Also does base in this context require biological humans or would any structure housing mobile beings such as AI drones also count?

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