Closest senate race in the 2024 US election?
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14
แน€1435
Nov 5
22%
Ohio: Brown vs Moreno
17%
Florida: Mucarsel-Powell vs Scott
15%
Texas: Allred vs Cruz
11%
Wisconsin: Baldwin vs Hovde
10%
Montana: Tester vs Sheehy
8%
Nevada: Rosen vs Brown
7%
Michigan: Slotkin vs Rogers
7%
Arizona: Gallego vs Lake
1.6%
Pennsylvania: Casey vs McCormick
1.6%
Maryland: Alsobrooks vs Hogan

Resolves to whichever race ends up being the tightest, measured by final vote margin. If the closest Senate race is ultimately one not on this list, I will still resolve to whichever of these 10 is the closest.

i.e. if most races are won by 2%+ points but one race is won by just 1%, then that one race would be considered the closest.

Trading closes November 4th.

Measured by vote %, not raw vote count.

Inspired by: Tracking the Senate's Most Competitive Races (NYT)

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No VA? I have a soft spot for Hung Cao.

Measured by % margin not vote counts right?

@HenryRodgers Margin, sure