[ADD ANSWERS] What’s true of the shooting suspect of the two National Guard troops?
57
Ṁ19k
2026
68%
Has the death penalty sought against him by the prosecution
56%
Accepts a plea deal instead of going to trial
40%
Has been awarded for services to the United States
12%
Was intoxicated at the time of the shooting
93%
Is alive on 12/31/2025
21%
Was motivated by political ideology
93%
Has ties to extremist groups
2%
Had the firearm used in the crime legally
88%
Was acting alone
81%
Has ever been diagnosed with a mental health condition
19%
Has been convicted of a felony

Each market will resolve as information becomes available - not after conviction, unless otherwise specified.

  • Update 2025-12-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The answer "Is white and not hispanic" will resolve based on Census classification standards.

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Has been awarded for services to the United States

@1bets can you confirm the criteria for this

bought Ṁ1 Had the firearm used... NO

He was using a gun that was taken from a dead person.

As an afgani veteran, but asylum refugee without a green card, he had no legal right to possess any firearm, and the gun was still registered to the deceased person.

Maybe the fact that the gun itself was illegal to own without registration could get some attention?

@Houston2025, @creator please resolve "Is white and not hispanic" - YES

@questionyourself will resolve yes per Census classification

opened a Ṁ105 Is white and not his... YES at 45% order

dentity vs. Classification USA

  • Officially: Afghans are classed as “white.”

  • But personally and socially: many Afghan (or other MENA-origin) individuals do not identify as white.

@onetwelve I am slightly resentful about this result because I would have bet differently if I had known that would be the standard used, but I guess we need to use some standard and I could have asked.

@JohnSmithb9be in USA they use weird measurements for everything

bought Ṁ274 Is charged with murd... YES

@creator murder charges announced

Guys, the suspect is a person who behaved suspiciously, so they caught him. He wore a beard and spoke with an accent.

The real murderer may still be roaming free - that’s why an additional five hundred guards were sent to D.C., along with police and other agencies.

bought Ṁ42 Has military background YES

Military resolves yes "Suspect in National Guard shooting served alongside U.S. troops in Afghanistan, relative says"

https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/suspect-national-guard-shooting-served-us-troops-afghanistan-relative-rcna246170

bought Ṁ20 Is white and not his... YES

Lakanwal seems to be a Pashtun name, betting "white, not Hispanic"

bought Ṁ100 Is under 30 years old YES

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025/nov/26/washington-national-guard-shooting-suspect
> Lakanwal, 29, is said to have entered the United States in September 2021,
> ...
> Immigration authorities granted Lakanwal asylum earlier this year, according to CNN.

bought Ṁ50 Answer #RACS29ANdU YES

@Houston2025 Hegseth is saying they'll deploy 500 additional NG to DC https://www.cbsnews.com/news/trump-administration-500-more-national-guard-troops-washington-dc-after-shooting-hegseth/

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