2024 US Presidential Election: First vs Second Place Percentage Difference
โž•
Plus
17
แน€3090
Nov 17
1.7%
<1%
94%
1% - 3%
3%
3% - 5%
0.5%
5% - 8%
0.3%
>8%

Using the 2020 elections as an example: Biden got 51.3% of the votes, while Trump got 46.8%. Had there been a market like this one at the time, the (absolute) difference would have been 51.3 - 46.8 = 4.5, and the answer would have been [3% - 5%].

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ US Politics๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ 2024 US Presidential Election2024 US Election
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bought แน€1 <1% YES

Currently 50.4% - 48.0% = 2.4%.

I've extended for another week as reporting is still at 95%.

I was thinking I could resolve once the remaining % to report would not change the results.

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Currently 50.7% - 47.7% - 3.0%.

Just as a reminder, brackets are all [a, b) except for the last one, meaning a final result of 3.0% would fall under [3%, 5%)

bought แน€10 <1% YES

@NoyaV It's going to get much closer - most of the remaining vote is from California.

reposted

Bump!

reposted

btw brackets are [a, b), except for the last one

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