On June 22, 2025, the United States conducted airstrikes on Iran's Fordow nuclear facility. Reports indicate significant damage, but the extent of destruction to centrifuges remains unclear. This market resolves to 'Yes' if credible sources confirm that at least one centrifuge at Fordow (i.e. located at Fordow during the bombings) was destroyed due to the bombings. Resolution will be based on general consensus from reputable news outlets or official statements. (reuters.com)

Hardly a "prediction" market but I would still say this information is unsure, so here goes!

Intended to be more precise version of https://manifold.markets/bens/will-fordow-be-put-out-of-commissio. Note, this still resolves yes if a centrifuge was destroyed but the Fordow location is not put out of commission.

I will not bet in this market