Was the US already in a recession in July 2024?
Plus
47
αΉ15kAug 1
1.7%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
July 2024 unemployment data triggered the Sahm rule, which is an indicator that the US is in a recession.
This market resolves YES if the NBER declares, before August 2025 (US eastern time), that the US entered a recession that began or was ongoing in July 2024.
Get αΉ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will there be a US recession by EOY2025?
61% chance
Will the US enter a recession by end of 2025? (Two quarters negative GDP growth)
65% chance
Will the US enter a recession by the end of 2025?
63% chance
Will the US enter a recession by first half of 2025? (Two quarters negative GDP growth)
33% chance
Did the US enter a recession before the end of 2024?
7% chance
US Recession in 2025?
60% chance
United States Recession by End of Q3?
34% chance
Will the US experience a recession during 2027?
18% chance
Will the US economy have a recession [two quarters of negative GDP growth] in 2024?
5% chance
US officially enter a recession in 2024? (NBER)
5% chance