GPT-5 Capabilities

Sam Altman hints at the future of AI and GPT-5 - and big things are coming

GPT-5 on the horizon, as Altman drops hints

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GPT-5 capabilities at launch - make your predictions

Resolved

N/A

to be N/A'd : Seed answer to create a market

Resolved

NO

Video modality(Input or Output)

Resolved

NO

Audio Modality(Input or Output)

Resolved

NO

Image Modality(Output)

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Will there be a language model called GPT-5, released by OpenAI, this decade?YES

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Will OpenAI's next-gen math-focused model score at least 95% on the MATH benchmark?NO

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Will OpenAI Release a Model Capable of Reliably performing Gradeschool Math from Reasoning by Jan 1, 2025?79% chance

Mini

Will Gary Marcus dunk on OpenAI's next big model release by saying that the model still fails in predictable ways?84% chance

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Will GPT-5 have over 1 trillion parameters?92% chance

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Will GPT-5 score Bronze or better on IMO 2025?NO

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Will GPT-5 have fewer parameters than GPT-4? (1500M subsidy)20% chance

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Will GPT-5 reach a 1000 rating on Codeforces?99% chance

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Will OpenAI's next-generation model score 65% or higher on the GPQA benchmark?YES

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