Swing States

Will Kamala Harris lead Donald Trump in the upcoming NYT / Siena poll of Pennsylvania?YES

Will the 2024 US Presidential candidate who wins Pennsylvania also win the election?89% chance

2024 Pennsylvania: Trump vs. Biden | RealClearPolling

2024 Pennsylvania: Trump vs. Biden | RealClearPolling

Premium

Which party will win the US Presidency in Pennsylvania?

55%

Democratic Party

45%

Republican Party

0%

Other

Plus

Which party will win the US Senate race in Pennsylvania in 2024?

75%

Democratic Party

25%

Republican Party

0%

Other

2024 Presidential Polling Averages

For methodology, please see our writeup here. This page will be updated once every day with the newest numbers. It was last updated on September 19, 2024. Please note that this is a polling aggregator, not a forecast. You can find our current ratings here.

Which of these swing states will have a split ticket? (Voting for different parties for President and Senator/Governor)

20%

Wisconsin (Presidency and Senate)

37%

Pennsylvania (Presidency and Senate)

39%

Nevada (Presidency and Senate)

59%

Arizona (Presidency and Senate)

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Will the 2024 US presidential election be extremely close (within 100,000 votes for electors to the Electoral College)?32% chance

2024 Wisconsin: Trump vs. Biden | RealClearPolling

2024 Wisconsin: Trump vs. Biden | RealClearPolling

Plus

Which party will win the US Presidency in Wisconsin?

60%

Democratic Party

40%

Republican Party

0%

Other

Which party will win the US Senate race in Wisconsin in 2024?

84%

Democratic Party

16%

Republican Party

0%

Other

2024 North Carolina: Trump vs. Biden | RealClearPolling

2024 North Carolina: Trump vs. Biden | RealClearPolling

Plus

Which party will win the US Presidency in North Carolina?

50%

Democratic Party

50%

Republican Party

0%

Other

North Carolina Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2024?

95%

Democratic Party

5%

Republican Party

0%

Other

2024 Nevada: Trump vs. Biden | RealClearPolling

2024 Nevada: Trump vs. Biden | RealClearPolling

Premium

Which party will win the US Presidency in Nevada?

52%

Democratic Party

48%

Republican Party

0.1%

Other

Which party will win the US Senate race in Nevada in 2024?

73%

Democratic Party

27%

Republican Party

0%

Other

2024 Arizona: Trump vs. Biden | RealClearPolling

2024 Arizona: Trump vs. Biden | RealClearPolling

Premium

Which party will win the US Presidency in Arizona?

43%

Democratic Party

57%

Republican Party

0%

Other

Which party will win the US Senate race in Arizona in 2024?

77%

Democratic Party

23%

Republican Party

0%

Other

2024 Michigan: Trump vs. Biden | RealClearPolling

2024 Michigan: Trump vs. Biden | RealClearPolling

Premium

Which party will win the US Presidency in Michigan?

66%

Democratic Party

34%

Republican Party

0%

Other

Which party will win the US Senate race in Michigan in 2024?

74%

Democratic Party

26%

Republican Party

0%

Other

2024 New Hampshire: Trump vs. Biden | RealClearPolling

2024 New Hampshire: Trump vs. Biden | RealClearPolling

Which party will win the US Presidency in New Hampshire?

86%

Democratic Party

14%

Republican Party

0.3%

Other

New Hampshire Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2024?

45%

Democratic Party

55%

Republican Party

0.2%

Other

2024 Georgia: Trump vs. Biden | RealClearPolling

2024 Georgia: Trump vs. Biden | RealClearPolling

Premium

Which party will win the US Presidency in Georgia?

41%

Democratic Party

59%

Republican Party

0%

Other

What will be the Electoral College margin in the 2024 US Presidential Election?

4%

D by 215+

5%

D by 155-214

7%

D by 105-154

10%

D by 65-104

See 13 more answers